Recession fears have cooled, but a labor market chart flagged by one bearish strategist might give bullish investors pause.

If the Sahm Rule Recession Indicator holds, Edwards’ warning appears justified. But the rule is not infallible. After earning ...

Is a recession on the horizon? This video analyzes the yield curve and its historical accuracy in predicting economic ...

In the past three months, economists have changed their outlook for the U.S. to slower growth, higher inflation and greater risk of recession. The changed consensus in The Wall Street Journal’s ...

The economy contracted in the first quarter for the first time in three years, but it doesn't mean the economy is rushing toward a recession. At least not yet. Gross domestic product, the official ...

President Trump's wide-ranging tariffs have sent the stock market tumbling and recession fears soaring. As the dust settles and markets wait for more information on the result of the administration's ...

Diccon Hyatt is an experienced financial and economics reporter. He's written hundreds of articles breaking down complex financial topics in plain language, emphasizing the impact that economic ...

Traders on the prediction market platform Kalshi now place the odds of a U.S. recession this year at 21%, up slightly from 19% earlier Tuesday. That figure is still near the lowest level of the year, ...

Experts predict the economy will nearly stall in 2025, growing 0.8%, down from their projection of 1.7% just last month. The 46 economists surveyed by Wolters Kluwer Blue Chip Economic Indicators ...

Even with inflation easing, the tariff war paused and the labor force at full employment, the U.S. gross domestic product is expected to grow by only 1.6% for 2025 – more than 1 percentage point below ...